Serie B · 2026

São Bernardo vs CRB · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

CRB

LWWLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.381.5
Expected goals
1.051.43
Shots
12.418.5
Possession
50.1%50.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

One pattern stands out in the record: CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. The next-strongest reading is weaker: CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSão Bernardo · CRB18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSão BernardoCRBBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match18.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

CRB have a visible away split

moderate

CRB's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match18.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Bernardo favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · CRB in 6 · 3 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Bernardo29 matchesCRB28 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.43 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.43 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots28/27▲ 18.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target28/27▲ 6 shots/match
50.1%Possession28/27● 50.8%
4.96 corners/matchCorners28/27● 5.11 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2712.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1São Bernardo
0Draws
0CRB
CRB — São Bernardo · Serie B2–3

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness17 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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