PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Juventude 3–0 Operário-PR · Serie B

3–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 3–0.

Shots
2522
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.381.65
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Operário-PR 3–0. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Operário-PR): shots 25–22, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.38–1.65, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude have a visible home split

moderate

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots22 shotsJuventude 25 shots, Operário-PR 22 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsJuventude 6 shots, Operário-PR 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.38 xG1.65 xGJuventude 2.38 xG, Operário-PR 1.65 xG
  • Possession49%51%Juventude 49%, Operário-PR 51%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersJuventude 3 corners, Operário-PR 5 corners
  • Fouls26 fouls17 foulsJuventude 26 fouls, Operário-PR 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsJuventude 2 cards, Operário-PR 2 cards
  • Passes395 passes425 passesJuventude 395 passes, Operário-PR 425 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.3%87.3%Juventude 84.3%, Operário-PR 87.3%
  • Shots inside box18 shots10 shotsJuventude 18 shots, Operário-PR 10 shots
  • Blocked shots9 blocks9 blocksJuventude 9 blocks, Operário-PR 9 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesJuventude 4 saves, Operário-PR 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideJuventude 1 offside, Operário-PR 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
0Draws
1Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Juventude · Serie B2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 7 of 13 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude31 matchesOperário-PR31 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.39 goals/match
0.61 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.32 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals31/30▲ 1.26 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots31/30▲ 14 shots/match
4.23 shots/matchShots on target31/304.27 shots/match
50.2%Possession31/30● 51.5%
4.19 corners/matchCorners31/30● 4.67 corners/match
17 fouls/matchFouls31/3014.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 03:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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