Serie B · 2026

Sport Recife 2–1 São Bernardo · Serie B

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Sport Recife won 2–1.

Shots
1921
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.341.9
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Sport Recife beat São Bernardo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Sport Recife – São Bernardo): shots 19–21, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.34–1.9, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Bernardo.

4.96 days ▲Rest daysSport Recife · São Bernardo4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSport RecifeSão BernardoBaseline
Rest days4.96 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots21 shotsSport Recife 19 shots, São Bernardo 21 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSport Recife 5 shots, São Bernardo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG1.9 xGSport Recife 1.34 xG, São Bernardo 1.9 xG
  • Possession48%52%Sport Recife 48%, São Bernardo 52%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersSport Recife 5 corners, São Bernardo 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsSport Recife 10 fouls, São Bernardo 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsSport Recife 4 cards, São Bernardo 4 cards
  • Passes445 passes463 passesSport Recife 445 passes, São Bernardo 463 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%88.6%Sport Recife 87%, São Bernardo 88.6%
  • Shots inside box6 shots16 shotsSport Recife 6 shots, São Bernardo 16 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks8 blocksSport Recife 7 blocks, São Bernardo 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesSport Recife 3 saves, São Bernardo 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesSport Recife 1 offside, São Bernardo 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Sport Recife
1Draws
0São Bernardo
São Bernardo — Sport Recife · Serie B0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Sport Recife favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · São Bernardo in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Sport Recife32 matchesSão Bernardo32 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored32/321.38 goals/match
1.06 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.06 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.06 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots31/3012.7 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target31/30▲ 4.5 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession31/3049.9%
4.84 corners/matchCorners31/30● 5.1 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3012.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 7 Oct 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required