Serie B · 2026

Goiás vs Athletic Club · Serie B

Goiás

DWLLW
vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
11.18
Expected goals
1.041.05
Shots
11.611.1
Possession
53%43.8%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible away split

moderate

Athletic Club's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.79 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.79 shots/match11.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Goiás have recorded the higher season possession share.

53% ●PossessionGoiás · Athletic Club43.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGoiásAthletic ClubBaseline
Possession53%43.8%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Athletic Club in 4 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás28 matchesAthletic Club28 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.21 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.05 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots27/2811.1 shots/match
3.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/283.29 shots/match
53% ●Possession27/2843.8%
4.56 corners/match ●Corners27/284.29 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2814.9 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Goiás
2Draws
1Athletic Club
Athletic Club — Goiás · Serie B1–1
Athletic Club — Goiás · Serie B1–1
Goiás — Athletic Club · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness23 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 6 Oct 2026, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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