Athletic Club
Serie B · 2026Athletic Club 1–2 Sport Recife · Serie B
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Sport Recife won 1–2.
- Shots
- 29–11
- Shots on target
- 8–5
- Expected goals
- 1.75–0.59
- Possession
- 56%–44%
Full time
What the match recorded
Sport Recife beat Athletic Club 2–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Sport Recife): shots 29–11, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.75–0.59, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Athletic Club have a visible home split
moderateAthletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14.6 shots/match | 11.7 shots/match | 13.8 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season
weakSport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.6 goals/match | 1.35 goals/match | 1.18 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateSport Recife have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.4 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Athletic Club | Sport Recife | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 44.3% | 54.7% | 50.2% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Athletic Club favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 10 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Athletic Club / Sport Recife
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
More football
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CRBTeam rankings in Serie B
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