Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino vs Goiás · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Goiás

DWLLW

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.691
Expected goals
1.591.04
Shots
15.811.6
Possession
48.8%53%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: novorizontino's last-five shots average is above their season average. Alongside it: novorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Novorizontino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Novorizontino's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Novorizontino have a visible home split

moderate

Novorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.4 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Goiás show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Goiás's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsNovorizontino · Goiás11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNovorizontinoGoiásBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Goiás in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino29 matchesGoiás28 matches
1.69 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/281 goal/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281.21 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.04 xG/match
15.8 shots/match ▲Shots28/2711.6 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/273.74 shots/match
48.8%Possession28/27● 53%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners28/274.56 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2713.4 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Novorizontino
0Draws
2Goiás
Goiás — Novorizontino · Serie B0–4
Goiás — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Goiás · Serie B1–0
Goiás — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Goiás · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness19 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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