PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino 3–0 Goiás · Serie B

3–0Full-time analysis

Goiás

LLWWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Novorizontino won 3–0.

Shots
3113
Shots on target
134
Expected goals
4.031.81
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Novorizontino beat Goiás 3–0. Recorded in this match (Novorizontino – Goiás): shots 31–13, shots on target 13–4, expected goals 4.03–1.81, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.2 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Goiás have a visible away split

moderate

Goiás's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Goiás show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Goiás's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsNovorizontino · Goiás12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNovorizontinoGoiásBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match12.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots13 shotsNovorizontino 31 shots, Goiás 13 shots
  • Shots on target13 shots4 shotsNovorizontino 13 shots, Goiás 4 shots
  • Expected goals4.03 xG1.81 xGNovorizontino 4.03 xG, Goiás 1.81 xG
  • Possession33%67%Novorizontino 33%, Goiás 67%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersNovorizontino 4 corners, Goiás 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsNovorizontino 16 fouls, Goiás 14 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardNovorizontino 3 cards, Goiás 1 card
  • Passes278 passes602 passesNovorizontino 278 passes, Goiás 602 passes
  • Pass accuracy79.9%87.7%Novorizontino 79.9%, Goiás 87.7%
  • Shots inside box25 shots10 shotsNovorizontino 25 shots, Goiás 10 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks4 blocksNovorizontino 5 blocks, Goiás 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves9 savesNovorizontino 2 saves, Goiás 9 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesNovorizontino 0 offsides, Goiás 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Novorizontino
0Draws
2Goiás
Goiás — Novorizontino · Serie B0–4
Goiás — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Goiás · Serie B1–0
Goiás — Novorizontino · Serie B1–0
Novorizontino — Goiás · Serie B2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Goiás in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino31 matchesGoiás31 matches
1.68 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.97 goals/match
0.87 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.26 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/311.12 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots29/3012.6 shots/match
5.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.9 shots/match
48.2%Possession29/30● 53.7%
6.41 corners/match ●Corners29/304.63 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls29/3013.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 2 Oct 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNovorizontinoGoiás
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headNovorizontino — Goiás
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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