PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense vs Sport Recife · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.241.32
Expected goals
1.461.45
Shots
14.614.1
Possession
49%55.1%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 2 · 7 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense29 matchesSport Recife28 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 1.32 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/281 goal/match
1.46 xG/matchExpected goals29/281.45 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots29/2814.1 shots/match
4.52 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/284.25 shots/match
49%Possession29/28● 55.1%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners29/284.89 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2813.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Goianiense
2Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–1
Sport Recife — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B0–0
Atlético Goianiense — Sport Recife · Serie B3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness26 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Oct 2026, 19:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseSport Recife
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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