PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro vs Operário-PR · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.661.38
Expected goals
1.131.24
Shots
13.513.9
Possession
53.3%51.6%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: américa Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.66 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0 goals/match0.66 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 7 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro32 matchesOperário-PR32 matches
0.66 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.66 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.34 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals32/31▲ 1.24 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots32/3113.9 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target32/314.23 shots/match
53.3% ●Possession32/3151.6%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners32/314.74 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls32/3114.7 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América Mineiro
1Draws
3Operário-PR
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Operário-PR · Serie B1–1
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Operário-PR · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness10 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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