PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro vs Operário-PR · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
0.721.39
Expected goals
1.211.28
Shots
13.914.1
Possession
54%52.2%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: américa Mineiro's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five shots average is above their season average.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots20 shots/match13.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 7 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro29 matchesOperário-PR28 matches
0.72 goals/matchGoals scored29/28▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.69 goals/matchGoals allowed29/28▲ 1.29 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.28 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots29/2814.1 shots/match
4.62 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/284.36 shots/match
54% ●Possession29/2852.2%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners29/284.75 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls29/2814.6 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1América Mineiro
1Draws
3Operário-PR
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Operário-PR · Serie B1–1
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
Operário-PR — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Operário-PR · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness32 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroOperário-PR
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Operário-PR
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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