PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP vs Londrina · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.121.25
Expected goals
1.121.17
Shots
12.714.2
Possession
48.9%47%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: londrina's last-five shots average is above their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Londrina in 4 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP33 matchesLondrina32 matches
1.12 goals/matchGoals scored33/32▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/321.47 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals32/311.17 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.55 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.06 shots/match
48.9% ●Possession31/3147%
6.42 corners/match ●Corners31/315.65 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
1Draws
1Londrina
Londrina — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–0
Botafogo-SP — Londrina · Serie B0–1
Londrina — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness31 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPLondrina
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Londrina
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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