PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Operário-PR vs Sport Recife · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.331.36
Expected goals
1.251.41
Shots
14.213.8
Possession
51.9%54.3%

30-second read

What the record shows

The retained record does not give either club a clear edge on the metrics that clear the gates. The closest thing to a difference: operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

weak

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Operário-PR favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 6 · 5 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Operário-PR33 matchesSport Recife33 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.36 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.41 xG/match
14.2 shots/matchShots32/3213.8 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target32/324.25 shots/match
51.9%Possession32/32● 54.3%
5.03 corners/match ●Corners32/324.78 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.3 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Operário-PR
1Draws
0Sport Recife
Sport Recife — Operário-PR · Serie B2–2
Operário-PR — Sport Recife · Serie B2–1
Sport Recife — Operário-PR · Serie B1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness27 daysstale at cutoff
  • At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOperário-PRSport Recife
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headOperário-PR — Sport Recife
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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