Serie B · 2026

Novorizontino vs Operário-PR · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.791.33
Expected goals
1.671.25
Shots
16.114.2
Possession
47.6%51.9%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: novorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Alongside it: operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is below their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Operário-PR's recent record differs from the season

weak

Operário-PR's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Novorizontino have a visible home split

moderate

Novorizontino's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match16.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Novorizontino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Novorizontino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.1 shots/match ▲ShotsNovorizontino · Operário-PR14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNovorizontinoOperário-PRBaseline
Shots16.1 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Novorizontino favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Operário-PR in 0 · 2 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Novorizontino33 matchesOperário-PR33 matches
1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.33 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.36 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/321.25 xG/match
16.1 shots/match ▲Shots31/3214.2 shots/match
5.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/324.22 shots/match
47.6%Possession31/32● 51.9%
6.29 corners/match ●Corners31/325.03 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3214.8 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Novorizontino
1Draws
3Operário-PR
Operário-PR — Novorizontino · Serie B2–1
Novorizontino — Operário-PR · Serie B3–0
Operário-PR — Novorizontino · Serie B2–0
Novorizontino — Operário-PR · Serie B0–1
Operário-PR — Novorizontino · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness20 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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