PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

América Mineiro 0–1 Juventude · Serie B

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 0–1.

Shots
1316
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.381.19
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat América Mineiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Juventude): shots 13–16, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.38–1.19, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude have a visible away split

moderate

Juventude's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventude's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots16 shotsAmérica Mineiro 13 shots, Juventude 16 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsAmérica Mineiro 4 shots, Juventude 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.38 xG1.19 xGAmérica Mineiro 0.38 xG, Juventude 1.19 xG
  • Possession42%58%América Mineiro 42%, Juventude 58%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersAmérica Mineiro 3 corners, Juventude 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsAmérica Mineiro 14 fouls, Juventude 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsAmérica Mineiro 1 card, Juventude 2 cards
  • Passes401 passes560 passesAmérica Mineiro 401 passes, Juventude 560 passes
  • Pass accuracy80.1%86.6%América Mineiro 80.1%, Juventude 86.6%
  • Shots inside box4 shots9 shotsAmérica Mineiro 4 shots, Juventude 9 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks8 blocksAmérica Mineiro 3 blocks, Juventude 8 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesAmérica Mineiro 2 saves, Juventude 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesAmérica Mineiro 3 offsides, Juventude 2 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2América Mineiro
0Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — América Mineiro · Serie B3–0
Juventude — América Mineiro · Serie A0–1
América Mineiro — Juventude · Serie A4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Juventude in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro30 matchesJuventude30 matches
0.7 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.63 goals/match
1.18 xG/match ▲Expected goals30/301.05 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots30/3012.4 shots/match
4.6 shots/match ▲Shots on target30/304.17 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession30/3050.2%
5.43 corners/match ●Corners30/304.23 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls30/3016.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 29 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroJuventude
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAmérica Mineiro — Juventude
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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