PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Atlético Goianiense vs América Mineiro · Serie B

vsPre-match analysis

Season

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Goals scored
1.240.72
Expected goals
1.461.21
Shots
14.613.9
Possession
49%54%

30-second read

What the record shows

The story here is recent context rather than season averages: atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 0 · 4 too close

recorded edge higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense29 matchesAmérica Mineiro29 matches
1.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/290.72 goals/match
0.93 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.69 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.21 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots29/2913.9 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target29/294.62 shots/match
49%Possession29/29● 54%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners29/295.52 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls29/2914 fouls/match

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Atlético Goianiense
1Draws
2América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B1–2
Atlético Goianiense — América Mineiro · Serie B1–0
América Mineiro — Atlético Goianiense · Serie B2–1
América Mineiro — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–1
Atlético Goianiense — América Mineiro · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
Freshness15 daysfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAtlético Goianiense — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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