PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 2–0 Ponte Preta · Serie B

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Botafogo-SP won 2–0.

Shots
137
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
1.670.77
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo-SP beat Ponte Preta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Ponte Preta): shots 13–7, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 1.67–0.77, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.57 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Ponte Preta show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Ponte Preta's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsBotafogo-SP · Ponte Preta10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBotafogo-SPPonte PretaBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsBotafogo-SP 13 shots, Ponte Preta 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBotafogo-SP 4 shots, Ponte Preta 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.67 xG0.77 xGBotafogo-SP 1.67 xG, Ponte Preta 0.77 xG
  • Possession64%36%Botafogo-SP 64%, Ponte Preta 36%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersBotafogo-SP 5 corners, Ponte Preta 2 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls10 foulsBotafogo-SP 19 fouls, Ponte Preta 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card2 cardsBotafogo-SP 1 card, Ponte Preta 2 cards
  • Passes549 passes313 passesBotafogo-SP 549 passes, Ponte Preta 313 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.4%78.9%Botafogo-SP 87.4%, Ponte Preta 78.9%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsBotafogo-SP 9 shots, Ponte Preta 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockBotafogo-SP 2 blocks, Ponte Preta 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesBotafogo-SP 1 save, Ponte Preta 2 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideBotafogo-SP 1 offside, Ponte Preta 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo-SP
2Draws
2Ponte Preta
Ponte Preta — Botafogo-SP · Serie B0–0
Ponte Preta — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–0
Botafogo-SP — Ponte Preta · Serie B2–0
Botafogo-SP — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–0
Ponte Preta — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Ponte Preta in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP30 matchesPonte Preta30 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored30/300.57 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed30/302.13 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/300.94 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots28/3010.4 shots/match
3.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/303.13 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession28/3041%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners28/304.27 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls28/3016.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 30 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPPonte Preta
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Ponte Preta
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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