PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Goiás 2–1 Avaí · Serie B

Goiás

DWLLW
2–1Full-time analysis

Avaí

WLLLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 2–1.

Shots
267
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.340.68
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Avaí): shots 26–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.34–0.68, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Goiás have a visible home split

moderate

Goiás's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots7 shotsGoiás 26 shots, Avaí 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsGoiás 7 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.34 xG0.68 xGGoiás 2.34 xG, Avaí 0.68 xG
  • Possession58%42%Goiás 58%, Avaí 42%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersGoiás 8 corners, Avaí 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsGoiás 14 fouls, Avaí 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards4 cardsGoiás 4 cards, Avaí 4 cards
  • Passes501 passes362 passesGoiás 501 passes, Avaí 362 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.4%80.9%Goiás 87.4%, Avaí 80.9%
  • Shots inside box16 shots2 shotsGoiás 16 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksGoiás 7 blocks, Avaí 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save5 savesGoiás 1 save, Avaí 5 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesGoiás 1 offside, Avaí 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Goiás
0Draws
2Avaí
Avaí — Goiás · Serie B0–2
Avaí — Goiás · Serie B2–1
Goiás — Avaí · Serie B2–1
Goiás — Avaí · Serie B2–1
Avaí — Goiás · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Avaí in 1 · 6 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás29 matchesAvaí29 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored29/291.03 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.31 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/280.95 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots28/2811.6 shots/match
3.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.39 shots/match
53.2% ●Possession28/2846.3%
4.68 corners/match ●Corners28/283.86 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásAvaí
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headGoiás — Avaí
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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