Avaí
Serie B · 2026Avaí 1–1 Vila Nova FC · Serie B
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Avaí and Vila Nova FC drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 8–11
- Shots on target
- 2–2
- Expected goals
- 0.99–0.69
- Possession
- 44%–56%
Full time
What the match recorded
Avaí and Vila Nova FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Vila Nova FC): shots 8–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.99–0.69, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Vila Nova FC's recent record differs from the season
moderateVila Nova FC's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1 goal/match | 1.43 goals/match | 1.13 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Avaí show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateAvaí's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Avaí | Vila Nova FC | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
| Shots against | 14.7 shots/match | 10.3 shots/match | 13.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
Avaí have a visible home split
moderateAvaí's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: home
| Metric | Home only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.7 shots/match | 11.7 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
This match
Match statistics
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Avaí favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Vila Nova FC in 9 · 4 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Avaí / Vila Nova FC
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
More football
Related matches
América Mineiro
São Bernardo
Botafogo-SP
Goiás
Londrina
Ponte PretaTeam rankings in Serie B
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.