PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Botafogo-SP 1–3 Goiás · Serie B

1–3Full-time analysis

Goiás

LDWLL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Goiás won 1–3.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
2.521.46
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Goiás beat Botafogo-SP 3–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo-SP – Goiás): shots 14–16, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 2.52–1.46, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo-SP's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo-SP's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Goiás.

5 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo-SP · Goiás4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogo-SPGoiásBaseline
Rest days5 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsBotafogo-SP 14 shots, Goiás 16 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsBotafogo-SP 3 shots, Goiás 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.52 xG1.46 xGBotafogo-SP 2.52 xG, Goiás 1.46 xG
  • Possession44%56%Botafogo-SP 44%, Goiás 56%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersBotafogo-SP 6 corners, Goiás 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls10 foulsBotafogo-SP 15 fouls, Goiás 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards3 cardsBotafogo-SP 4 cards, Goiás 3 cards
  • Passes327 passes422 passesBotafogo-SP 327 passes, Goiás 422 passes
  • Pass accuracy76.8%80.3%Botafogo-SP 76.8%, Goiás 80.3%
  • Shots inside box10 shots10 shotsBotafogo-SP 10 shots, Goiás 10 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks5 blocksBotafogo-SP 4 blocks, Goiás 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesBotafogo-SP 3 saves, Goiás 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideBotafogo-SP 3 offsides, Goiás 1 offside

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Botafogo-SP
0Draws
3Goiás
Goiás — Botafogo-SP · Serie B1–0
Goiás — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–3
Botafogo-SP — Goiás · Serie B0–1
Botafogo-SP — Goiás · Serie B1–0
Goiás — Botafogo-SP · Serie B4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo-SP favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo-SP28 matchesGoiás28 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281 goal/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed28/281.21 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/281.04 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots26/2711.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 3.74 shots/match
48.2%Possession26/27● 53%
6.35 corners/match ●Corners26/274.56 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls26/2713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 15 Sept 2026, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogo-SPGoiás
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headBotafogo-SP — Goiás
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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