PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Londrina 1–2 Fortaleza · Serie B

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 1–2.

Shots
2210
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.370.54
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Londrina 2–1. Recorded in this match (Londrina – Fortaleza): shots 22–10, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.37–0.54, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Londrina's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.34 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.34 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

moderate

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match14.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots10 shotsLondrina 22 shots, Fortaleza 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsLondrina 4 shots, Fortaleza 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.37 xG0.54 xGLondrina 1.37 xG, Fortaleza 0.54 xG
  • Possession47%53%Londrina 47%, Fortaleza 53%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersLondrina 7 corners, Fortaleza 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsLondrina 18 fouls, Fortaleza 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardLondrina 3 cards, Fortaleza 1 card
  • Passes412 passes495 passesLondrina 412 passes, Fortaleza 495 passes
  • Pass accuracy82.5%82.4%Londrina 82.5%, Fortaleza 82.4%
  • Shots inside box13 shots5 shotsLondrina 13 shots, Fortaleza 5 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksLondrina 5 blocks, Fortaleza 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesLondrina 1 save, Fortaleza 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesLondrina 2 offsides, Fortaleza 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Londrina
0Draws
1Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Londrina · Serie B3–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Londrina favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 5 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Londrina29 matchesFortaleza29 matches
1.34 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.14 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals29/291.23 xG/match
14.1 shots/matchShots29/2814.3 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target29/284.21 shots/match
46.5%Possession29/28● 48.9%
5.52 corners/match ●Corners29/285.36 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2814.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 21 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLondrinaFortaleza
CompetitionSerie B
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required