Londrina
Serie B · 2026Londrina vs Fortaleza · Serie B
Season
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
- Goals scored
- 1.36–1.11
- Expected goals
- 1.2–1.25
- Shots
- 13.8–14.4
- Possession
- 46.5%–48.7%
30-second read
What the record shows
The story here is recent context rather than season averages: londrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Alongside it: fortaleza EC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Londrina's recent record differs from the season
moderateLondrina's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.
Window: last_5 versus season
| Metric | Last 5 | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 2 goals/match | 1.36 goals/match | 1.14 goals/match |
Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Londrina, Fortaleza EC.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Londrina | Fortaleza EC | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.85 days | 5.9 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Fortaleza EC have a visible away split
moderateFortaleza EC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.6 shots/match | 14.4 shots/match | 13.7 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Londrina favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 7 · 5 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
Londrina / Fortaleza
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
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