PitchMath
Serie B · 2026

Athletic Club 1–1 Botafogo-SP · Serie B

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Athletic Club and Botafogo-SP drew 1–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.190.61
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletic Club and Botafogo-SP drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Athletic Club – Botafogo-SP): shots 17–13, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.19–0.61, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletic Club's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletic Club's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.17 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.17 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Athletic Club have a visible home split

moderate

Athletic Club's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsAthletic Club 17 shots, Botafogo-SP 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAthletic Club 4 shots, Botafogo-SP 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.19 xG0.61 xGAthletic Club 1.19 xG, Botafogo-SP 0.61 xG
  • Possession60%40%Athletic Club 60%, Botafogo-SP 40%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAthletic Club 2 corners, Botafogo-SP 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls20 foulsAthletic Club 15 fouls, Botafogo-SP 20 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsAthletic Club 2 cards, Botafogo-SP 3 cards
  • Passes487 passes321 passesAthletic Club 487 passes, Botafogo-SP 321 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.4%79.8%Athletic Club 84.4%, Botafogo-SP 79.8%
  • Shots inside box8 shots8 shotsAthletic Club 8 shots, Botafogo-SP 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks4 blocksAthletic Club 4 blocks, Botafogo-SP 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesAthletic Club 1 save, Botafogo-SP 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAthletic Club 2 offsides, Botafogo-SP 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Athletic Club
0Draws
0Botafogo-SP
Botafogo-SP — Athletic Club · Serie B1–2
Athletic Club — Botafogo-SP · Serie B2–0
Botafogo-SP — Athletic Club · Serie B0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletic Club favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Botafogo-SP in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletic Club29 matchesBotafogo-SP29 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.1 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.24 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.13 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots29/27▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target29/273.44 shots/match
44.3%Possession29/27● 47.9%
4.21 corners/matchCorners29/27● 6.3 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls29/2715.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthletic ClubBotafogo-SP
CompetitionSerie B
Head-to-headAthletic Club — Botafogo-SP
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required