Serie B · 2026

Ponte Preta 1–0 CRB · Serie B

1–0Full-time analysis

CRB

LWWLW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Ponte Preta won 1–0.

Shots
824
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.221.72
Possession
25%75%

Full time

What the match recorded

Ponte Preta beat CRB 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ponte Preta – CRB): shots 8–24, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.22–1.72, possession 25%–75%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ponte Preta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ponte Preta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.59 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsPonte Preta · CRB18.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPonte PretaCRBBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match18.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against18.4 shots/match13 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Ponte Preta.

4.65 days ▲Rest daysPonte Preta · CRB4.58 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPonte PretaCRBBaseline
Rest days4.65 days4.58 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots24 shotsPonte Preta 8 shots, CRB 24 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsPonte Preta 3 shots, CRB 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.22 xG1.72 xGPonte Preta 1.22 xG, CRB 1.72 xG
  • Possession25%75%Ponte Preta 25%, CRB 75%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersPonte Preta 3 corners, CRB 7 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls5 foulsPonte Preta 15 fouls, CRB 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardPonte Preta 5 cards, CRB 1 card
  • Passes207 passes612 passesPonte Preta 207 passes, CRB 612 passes
  • Pass accuracy60.9%86.6%Ponte Preta 60.9%, CRB 86.6%
  • Shots inside box5 shots14 shotsPonte Preta 5 shots, CRB 14 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks7 blocksPonte Preta 3 blocks, CRB 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves3 savesPonte Preta 7 saves, CRB 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesPonte Preta 1 offside, CRB 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Ponte Preta
0Draws
2CRB
CRB — Ponte Preta · Serie B4–2
CRB — Ponte Preta · Serie B0–1
Ponte Preta — CRB · Serie B4–2
Ponte Preta — CRB · Serie B3–0
CRB — Ponte Preta · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ponte Preta favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · CRB in 11 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ponte Preta29 matchesCRB29 matches
0.59 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.45 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.41 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals29/29▲ 1.44 xG/match
10.6 shots/matchShots29/28▲ 18.7 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target29/28▲ 6.04 shots/match
41.1%Possession29/28● 51.6%
4.34 corners/matchCorners29/28● 5.18 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls29/2812.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 20 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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