Serie B · 2026

CRB 2–1 Sport Recife · Serie B

CRB

WLWWL
2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

CRB won 2–1.

Shots
2211
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.820.34
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

CRB beat Sport Recife 2–1. Recorded in this match (CRB – Sport Recife): shots 22–11, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.82–0.34, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CRB show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

CRB's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCRB · Sport Recife14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCRBSport RecifeBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match14.1 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Sport Recife's recent record differs from the season

weak

Sport Recife's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

CRB have a visible home split

moderate

CRB's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.6 shots/match18.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots11 shotsCRB 22 shots, Sport Recife 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsCRB 8 shots, Sport Recife 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.82 xG0.34 xGCRB 1.82 xG, Sport Recife 0.34 xG
  • Possession43%57%CRB 43%, Sport Recife 57%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersCRB 5 corners, Sport Recife 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls7 foulsCRB 8 fouls, Sport Recife 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsCRB 4 cards, Sport Recife 2 cards
  • Passes404 passes532 passesCRB 404 passes, Sport Recife 532 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.9%85.2%CRB 84.9%, Sport Recife 85.2%
  • Shots inside box9 shots3 shotsCRB 9 shots, Sport Recife 3 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksCRB 5 blocks, Sport Recife 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesCRB 2 saves, Sport Recife 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesCRB 1 offside, Sport Recife 3 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2CRB
1Draws
2Sport Recife
Sport Recife — CRB · Serie B1–2
Sport Recife — CRB · Serie B2–0
CRB — Sport Recife · Serie B1–1
Sport Recife — CRB · Serie B2–0
CRB — Sport Recife · Serie B2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CRB favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Sport Recife in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CRB28 matchesSport Recife28 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.32 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1 goal/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.45 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots27/2814.1 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/284.25 shots/match
50.8%Possession27/28● 55.1%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners27/284.89 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie B

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