PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Departamental Libertad

Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Independiente Santa Fe · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Santa Fe won 1–2.

Shots
1416
Shots on target
58
Expected goals
0.860.79
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Fe beat Deportivo Pasto 2–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pasto – Santa Fe): shots 14–16, shots on target 5–8, expected goals 0.86–0.79, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Fe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Fe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots16 shotsDeportivo Pasto 14 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 16 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots8 shotsDeportivo Pasto 5 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG0.79 xGDeportivo Pasto 0.86 xG, Independiente Santa Fe 0.79 xG
  • Possession51%49%Deportivo Pasto 51%, Independiente Santa Fe 49%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersDeportivo Pasto 6 corners, Independiente Santa Fe 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsDeportivo Pasto 12 fouls, Independiente Santa Fe 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards0 cardsDeportivo Pasto 3 cards, Independiente Santa Fe 0 cards
  • Passes347 passes353 passesDeportivo Pasto 347 passes, Independiente Santa Fe 353 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%82%Deportivo Pasto 87%, Independiente Santa Fe 82%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsDeportivo Pasto 10 shots, Independiente Santa Fe 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block2 blocksDeportivo Pasto 1 block, Independiente Santa Fe 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesDeportivo Pasto 5 saves, Independiente Santa Fe 4 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesDeportivo Pasto 2 offsides, Independiente Santa Fe 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Santa Fe in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto18 matchesIndependiente Santa Fe18 matches
1.44 goals/matchGoals scored18/181.44 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed18/181.17 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/161.05 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 13.2 shots/match
3.94 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.06 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession18/1848.6%
3.78 corners/matchCorners18/18● 5.17 corners/match
4.56 cards/matchCards9/83.63 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls18/1811.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Apr 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PastoIndependiente Santa Fe
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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