PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Independiente Santa Fe 5–0 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

5–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Santa Fe won 5–0.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.10.43
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santa Fe beat Cucuta 5–0. Recorded in this match (Santa Fe – Cucuta): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.1–0.43, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santa Fe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santa Fe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santa Fe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsSanta Fe · Cucuta8.47 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSanta FeCucutaBaseline
Shots13 shots/match8.47 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 13 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 5 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG0.43 xGIndependiente Santa Fe 1.1 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.43 xG
  • Possession39%61%Independiente Santa Fe 39%, Cúcuta Deportivo 61%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersIndependiente Santa Fe 1 corner, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsIndependiente Santa Fe 7 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsIndependiente Santa Fe 2 cards, Cúcuta Deportivo 0 cards
  • Passes300 passes470 passesIndependiente Santa Fe 300 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 470 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%87%Independiente Santa Fe 79%, Cúcuta Deportivo 87%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 7 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block1 blockIndependiente Santa Fe 1 block, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves0 savesIndependiente Santa Fe 4 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 0 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideIndependiente Santa Fe 1 offside, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe17 matchesCúcuta Deportivo17 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.24 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.88 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/130.87 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots17/178.47 shots/match
4.88 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.65 shots/match
48.6% ●Possession17/1746.5%
5.35 corners/match ●Corners17/174.06 corners/match
3.63 cards/matchCards8/74.14 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente Santa FeCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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