PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio General Santander

Cúcuta Deportivo 1–1 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cúcuta Deportivo and Junior Barranquilla drew 1–1.

Expected goals
1.430.22

Full time

What the match recorded

Cucuta and Junior drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cucuta – Junior): expected goals 1.43–0.22. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cucuta's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cucuta's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Junior show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Junior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.47 shots/match ▲ShotsCucuta · Junior12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCucutaJuniorBaseline
Shots8.47 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Expected goals1.43 xG0.22 xGCúcuta Deportivo 1.43 xG, Junior Barranquilla 0.22 xG

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cúcuta Deportivo favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cúcuta Deportivo18 matchesJunior Barranquilla18 matches
1.22 goals/matchGoals scored18/18▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.17 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals14/16▲ 1.2 xG/match
8.47 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.53 shots/match
46.5%Possession17/17● 53.9%
4.06 corners/matchCorners17/17● 5.06 corners/match
4.14 cards/matchCards7/42.5 cards/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCúcuta DeportivoJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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