Primera A · 2026Estadio Municipal de Cota

Fortaleza CEIF 1–2 América de Cali · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali won 1–2.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.581.57
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali beat Fortaleza FC 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza FC – America de Cali): shots 17–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.58–1.57, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fortaleza FC, America de Cali.

4 days ▲Rest daysFortaleza FC · America de Cali3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFortaleza FCAmerica de CaliBaseline
Rest days4 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

America de Cali have a visible away split

moderate

America de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortaleza FC's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortaleza FC's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsFortaleza CEIF 17 shots, América de Cali 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFortaleza CEIF 3 shots, América de Cali 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG1.57 xGFortaleza CEIF 1.58 xG, América de Cali 1.57 xG
  • Possession62%38%Fortaleza CEIF 62%, América de Cali 38%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerFortaleza CEIF 5 corners, América de Cali 1 corner
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsFortaleza CEIF 10 fouls, América de Cali 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsFortaleza CEIF 2 cards, América de Cali 4 cards
  • Passes436 passes276 passesFortaleza CEIF 436 passes, América de Cali 276 passes
  • Pass accuracy89%79%Fortaleza CEIF 89%, América de Cali 79%
  • Shots inside box8 shots6 shotsFortaleza CEIF 8 shots, América de Cali 6 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksFortaleza CEIF 3 blocks, América de Cali 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesFortaleza CEIF 1 save, América de Cali 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesFortaleza CEIF 3 offsides, América de Cali 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · América de Cali in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza CEIF17 matchesAmérica de Cali17 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.47 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 0.82 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals14/15▲ 1.24 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 14.4 shots/match
3.88 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.41 shots/match
55.1%Possession17/17● 55.4%
4.29 corners/match ●Corners17/173.65 corners/match
3.56 cards/matchCards9/83.63 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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