PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Atlético Nacional 2–0 Atlético Bucaramanga · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Nacional won 2–0.

Shots
2015
Shots on target
94
Expected goals
1.260.97
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atletico Nacional beat Bucaramanga 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atletico Nacional – Bucaramanga): shots 20–15, shots on target 9–4, expected goals 1.26–0.97, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atletico Nacional have a visible home split

moderate

Atletico Nacional's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match16.5 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots15 shotsAtlético Nacional 20 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 15 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots4 shotsAtlético Nacional 9 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG0.97 xGAtlético Nacional 1.26 xG, Atlético Bucaramanga 0.97 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atlético Nacional 54%, Atlético Bucaramanga 46%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersAtlético Nacional 6 corners, Atlético Bucaramanga 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls5 foulsAtlético Nacional 9 fouls, Atlético Bucaramanga 5 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardAtlético Nacional 2 cards, Atlético Bucaramanga 1 card
  • Passes469 passes400 passesAtlético Nacional 469 passes, Atlético Bucaramanga 400 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%84%Atlético Nacional 88%, Atlético Bucaramanga 84%
  • Shots inside box13 shots7 shotsAtlético Nacional 13 shots, Atlético Bucaramanga 7 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks2 blocksAtlético Nacional 4 blocks, Atlético Bucaramanga 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves6 savesAtlético Nacional 4 saves, Atlético Bucaramanga 6 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideAtlético Nacional 0 offsides, Atlético Bucaramanga 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Nacional favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Atlético Bucaramanga in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Nacional17 matchesAtlético Bucaramanga17 matches
2.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.35 goals/match
0.76 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/170.94 goals/match
1.63 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/121 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots17/1713.2 shots/match
6.35 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.12 shots/match
56.2% ●Possession17/1752.6%
4.71 corners/match ●Corners17/174.65 corners/match
4.2 cards/matchCards5/35.67 cards/match
11 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético NacionalAtlético Bucaramanga
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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