PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Américo Montanini

Atlético Bucaramanga 2–2 Jaguares de Córdoba · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Atlético Bucaramanga and Jaguares de Córdoba drew 2–2.

Shots
147
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.340.58
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bucaramanga and Jaguares drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Bucaramanga – Jaguares): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.34–0.58, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.31 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Jaguares show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Jaguares's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsBucaramanga · Jaguares10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBucaramangaJaguaresBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against9.67 shots/match13.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 14 shots, Jaguares de Córdoba 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 6 shots, Jaguares de Córdoba 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.58 xGAtlético Bucaramanga 1.34 xG, Jaguares de Córdoba 0.58 xG
  • Possession49%51%Atlético Bucaramanga 49%, Jaguares de Córdoba 51%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersAtlético Bucaramanga 5 corners, Jaguares de Córdoba 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls4 foulsAtlético Bucaramanga 9 fouls, Jaguares de Córdoba 4 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsAtlético Bucaramanga 2 cards, Jaguares de Córdoba 2 cards
  • Passes383 passes412 passesAtlético Bucaramanga 383 passes, Jaguares de Córdoba 412 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%84%Atlético Bucaramanga 87%, Jaguares de Córdoba 84%
  • Shots inside box12 shots2 shotsAtlético Bucaramanga 12 shots, Jaguares de Córdoba 2 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksAtlético Bucaramanga 3 blocks, Jaguares de Córdoba 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesAtlético Bucaramanga 2 saves, Jaguares de Córdoba 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides0 offsidesAtlético Bucaramanga 3 offsides, Jaguares de Córdoba 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Bucaramanga favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Jaguares de Córdoba in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Bucaramanga18 matchesJaguares de Córdoba18 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.83 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/150.92 xG/match
13.2 shots/match ▲Shots18/1810.9 shots/match
4.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.44 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession18/1845.7%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners18/183.89 corners/match
5.67 cards/matchCards3/44.5 cards/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls18/1810.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Apr 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético BucaramangaJaguares de Córdoba
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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