PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Jaraguay

Jaguares de Córdoba 2–0 Cúcuta Deportivo · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jaguares de Córdoba won 2–0.

Shots
136
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.450.36
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jaguares beat Cucuta 2–0. Recorded in this match (Jaguares – Cucuta): shots 13–6, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.45–0.36, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Jaguares's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Jaguares show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Jaguares's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsJaguares · Cucuta8.33 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJaguaresCucutaBaseline
Shots11 shots/match8.33 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match16.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots6 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 13 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 5 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG0.36 xGJaguares de Córdoba 1.45 xG, Cúcuta Deportivo 0.36 xG
  • Possession52%48%Jaguares de Córdoba 52%, Cúcuta Deportivo 48%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 6 corners, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 14 fouls, Cúcuta Deportivo 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardJaguares de Córdoba 5 cards, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 card
  • Passes372 passes355 passesJaguares de Córdoba 372 passes, Cúcuta Deportivo 355 passes
  • Pass accuracy87%85%Jaguares de Córdoba 87%, Cúcuta Deportivo 85%
  • Shots inside box5 shots4 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 5 shots, Cúcuta Deportivo 4 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks1 blockJaguares de Córdoba 2 blocks, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesJaguares de Córdoba 2 saves, Cúcuta Deportivo 3 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideJaguares de Córdoba 0 offsides, Cúcuta Deportivo 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Cúcuta Deportivo in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba19 matchesCúcuta Deportivo19 matches
1.05 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.74 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.84 goals/match
0.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/150.88 xG/match
11 shots/match ▲Shots19/188.33 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target19/183.56 shots/match
46.1%Possession19/18● 46.6%
4 corners/matchCorners19/18● 4.06 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards4/74.14 cards/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1810.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 May 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJaguares de CórdobaCúcuta Deportivo
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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