PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Palogrande

Once Caldas 2–1 Internacional de Bogotá · Primera A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Once Caldas won 2–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.251.35
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Once Caldas beat Internacional de Bogota 2–1. Recorded in this match (Once Caldas – Internacional de Bogota): shots 13–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.25–1.35, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Once Caldas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.65 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Once Caldas have a visible home split

moderate

Once Caldas's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.3 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsOnce Caldas 13 shots, Internacional de Bogotá 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsOnce Caldas 6 shots, Internacional de Bogotá 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG1.35 xGOnce Caldas 1.25 xG, Internacional de Bogotá 1.35 xG
  • Possession63%37%Once Caldas 63%, Internacional de Bogotá 37%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersOnce Caldas 6 corners, Internacional de Bogotá 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls15 foulsOnce Caldas 11 fouls, Internacional de Bogotá 15 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards4 cardsOnce Caldas 3 cards, Internacional de Bogotá 4 cards
  • Passes450 passes262 passesOnce Caldas 450 passes, Internacional de Bogotá 262 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%76%Once Caldas 86%, Internacional de Bogotá 76%
  • Shots inside box9 shots4 shotsOnce Caldas 9 shots, Internacional de Bogotá 4 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksOnce Caldas 1 block, Internacional de Bogotá 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesOnce Caldas 2 saves, Internacional de Bogotá 4 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides5 offsidesOnce Caldas 3 offsides, Internacional de Bogotá 5 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Once Caldas favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Internacional de Bogotá in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Once Caldas17 matchesInternacional de Bogotá17 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.24 goals/match
1.18 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.35 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals15/121.03 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots17/1713.1 shots/match
5.18 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174.53 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession17/1747.1%
5.24 corners/match ●Corners17/174.59 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards6/42.25 cards/match
9.65 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Apr 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOnce CaldasInternacional de Bogotá
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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