PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Olimpico Pascual Guerrero

América de Cali 3–1 Millonarios · Primera A

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali won 3–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.180.74
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali beat Millonarios 3–1. Recorded in this match (America de Cali – Millonarios): shots 13–12, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.18–0.74, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

America de Cali have a visible home split

moderate

America de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

America de Cali have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.5% ●PossessionAmerica de Cali · Millonarios47.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAmerica de CaliMillonariosBaseline
Possession56.5%47.2%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsAmérica de Cali 13 shots, Millonarios 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsAmérica de Cali 5 shots, Millonarios 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG0.74 xGAmérica de Cali 1.18 xG, Millonarios 0.74 xG
  • Possession55%45%América de Cali 55%, Millonarios 45%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersAmérica de Cali 4 corners, Millonarios 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls6 foulsAmérica de Cali 6 fouls, Millonarios 6 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsAmérica de Cali 3 cards, Millonarios 2 cards
  • Passes505 passes407 passesAmérica de Cali 505 passes, Millonarios 407 passes
  • Pass accuracy86%85%América de Cali 86%, Millonarios 85%
  • Shots inside box9 shots6 shotsAmérica de Cali 9 shots, Millonarios 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksAmérica de Cali 2 blocks, Millonarios 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesAmérica de Cali 3 saves, Millonarios 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesAmérica de Cali 0 offsides, Millonarios 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Millonarios in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali16 matchesMillonarios17 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored16/17▲ 1.59 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/171.24 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals14/131.26 xG/match
14.6 shots/matchShots16/17▲ 15.5 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target16/17▲ 5.06 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession16/1747.2%
3.81 corners/matchCorners16/17● 5.65 corners/match
3.43 cards/matchCards7/64.5 cards/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1710.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 20 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica de CaliMillonarios
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required