PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro

Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportes Tolima won 2–0.

Shots
216
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.540.24
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportes Tolima beat Deportivo Pereira 2–0. Recorded in this match (Deportes Tolima – Deportivo Pereira): shots 21–6, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.54–0.24, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pereira's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportes Tolima show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Deportes Tolima's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportes Tolima · Deportivo Pereira9.06 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportes TolimaDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match9.06 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match16.8 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Deportes Tolima have a visible home split

moderate

Deportes Tolima's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots6 shotsDeportes Tolima 21 shots, Deportivo Pereira 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsDeportes Tolima 6 shots, Deportivo Pereira 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.24 xGDeportes Tolima 1.54 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.24 xG
  • Possession65%35%Deportes Tolima 65%, Deportivo Pereira 35%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersDeportes Tolima 8 corners, Deportivo Pereira 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsDeportes Tolima 11 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 6 fouls
  • Passes599 passes315 passesDeportes Tolima 599 passes, Deportivo Pereira 315 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%78%Deportes Tolima 90%, Deportivo Pereira 78%
  • Shots inside box7 shots2 shotsDeportes Tolima 7 shots, Deportivo Pereira 2 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksDeportes Tolima 5 blocks, Deportivo Pereira 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves4 savesDeportes Tolima 2 saves, Deportivo Pereira 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside3 offsidesDeportes Tolima 1 offside, Deportivo Pereira 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportes Tolima favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportes Tolima17 matchesDeportivo Pereira17 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.82 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.82 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/140.76 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/179.06 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/173.53 shots/match
55.4% ●Possession17/1742.2%
4.94 corners/match ●Corners17/172.35 corners/match
3.57 cards/matchCards7/63.17 cards/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls17/1710.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportes TolimaDeportivo Pereira
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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