PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Municipal de Cota

Fortaleza CEIF 2–0 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

2–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza CEIF won 2–0.

Shots
185
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.720.7
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza FC beat Águilas Doradas 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza FC – Águilas Doradas): shots 18–5, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.72–0.7, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.25 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Águilas Doradas's recent record differs from the season

weak

Águilas Doradas's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.4 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots5 shotsFortaleza CEIF 18 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 5 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsFortaleza CEIF 4 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG0.7 xGFortaleza CEIF 0.72 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0.7 xG
  • Possession65%35%Fortaleza CEIF 65%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 35%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerFortaleza CEIF 5 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsFortaleza CEIF 12 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 cardFortaleza CEIF 3 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 card
  • Passes569 passes305 passesFortaleza CEIF 569 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 305 passes
  • Pass accuracy90%78%Fortaleza CEIF 90%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 78%
  • Shots inside box10 shots2 shotsFortaleza CEIF 10 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks2 blocksFortaleza CEIF 6 blocks, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesFortaleza CEIF 2 saves, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 saves

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza CEIF favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza CEIF16 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas17 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/170.94 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed16/17▲ 1.29 goals/match
0.91 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/120.82 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots16/1710.8 shots/match
3.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/173.06 shots/match
54.7% ●Possession16/1746.9%
4.25 corners/match ●Corners16/174 corners/match
3.75 cards/matchCards8/72.57 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls16/1711.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples16 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Apr 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortaleza CEIFRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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