Primera A · 2026Estadio Cincuentenario

Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0–1 América de Cali · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali won 0–1.

Shots
126
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.620.25
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali beat Águilas Doradas 1–0. Recorded in this match (Águilas Doradas – America de Cali): shots 12–6, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.62–0.25, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Águilas Doradas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Águilas Doradas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.3 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

America de Cali have a visible away split

moderate

America de Cali's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

America de Cali have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.5%PossessionÁguilas Doradas · America de Cali● 56.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricÁguilas DoradasAmerica de CaliBaseline
Possession47.5%56.1%50.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots6 shotsRionegro Águilas Doradas 12 shots, América de Cali 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotRionegro Águilas Doradas 3 shots, América de Cali 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.62 xG0.25 xGRionegro Águilas Doradas 0.62 xG, América de Cali 0.25 xG
  • Possession59%41%Rionegro Águilas Doradas 59%, América de Cali 41%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerRionegro Águilas Doradas 7 corners, América de Cali 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls7 foulsRionegro Águilas Doradas 13 fouls, América de Cali 7 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards2 cardsRionegro Águilas Doradas 3 cards, América de Cali 2 cards
  • Passes382 passes272 passesRionegro Águilas Doradas 382 passes, América de Cali 272 passes
  • Pass accuracy79%74%Rionegro Águilas Doradas 79%, América de Cali 74%
  • Shots inside box7 shots2 shotsRionegro Águilas Doradas 7 shots, América de Cali 2 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks1 blockRionegro Águilas Doradas 3 blocks, América de Cali 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves3 savesRionegro Águilas Doradas 0 saves, América de Cali 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideRionegro Águilas Doradas 1 offside, América de Cali 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Rionegro Águilas Doradas favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · América de Cali in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Rionegro Águilas Doradas11 matchesAmérica de Cali11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.45 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.73 goals/match
0.64 xG/matchExpected goals6/9▲ 1.11 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.36 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.73 shots/match
47.5%Possession11/11● 56.1%
4.27 corners/match ●Corners11/112.91 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/73.43 cards/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Mar 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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