Primera A · 2026Olimpico Pascual Guerrero

América de Cali 1–1 Deportes Tolima · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

América de Cali and Deportes Tolima drew 1–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.641.46
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

America de Cali and Deportes Tolima drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (America de Cali – Deportes Tolima): shots 16–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.64–1.46, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportes Tolima's recent record differs from the season

weak

Deportes Tolima's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

America de Cali have a visible home split

moderate

America de Cali's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

America de Cali show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

America de Cali's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAmerica de Cali · Deportes Tolima11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAmerica de CaliDeportes TolimaBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match13 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsAmérica de Cali 16 shots, Deportes Tolima 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAmérica de Cali 6 shots, Deportes Tolima 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG1.46 xGAmérica de Cali 0.64 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.46 xG
  • Possession56%44%América de Cali 56%, Deportes Tolima 44%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersAmérica de Cali 3 corners, Deportes Tolima 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsAmérica de Cali 15 fouls, Deportes Tolima 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards6 cardsAmérica de Cali 3 cards, Deportes Tolima 6 cards
  • Passes391 passes324 passesAmérica de Cali 391 passes, Deportes Tolima 324 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%83%América de Cali 88%, Deportes Tolima 83%
  • Shots inside box3 shots7 shotsAmérica de Cali 3 shots, Deportes Tolima 7 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksAmérica de Cali 2 blocks, Deportes Tolima 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves5 savesAmérica de Cali 2 saves, Deportes Tolima 5 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesAmérica de Cali 2 offsides, Deportes Tolima 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América de Cali favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Deportes Tolima in 2 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América de Cali10 matchesDeportes Tolima10 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.8 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals8/6▲ 1.37 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.9 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
57.6% ●Possession10/1051.1%
3.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.2 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards6/53.4 cards/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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