PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Santiago de las Atalayas

Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Rionegro Águilas Doradas won 0–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.481.12
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Águilas Doradas beat Deportivo Pereira 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pereira – Águilas Doradas): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.48–1.12, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Águilas Doradas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Águilas Doradas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Águilas Doradas show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Águilas Doradas's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pereira · Águilas Doradas12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match12 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match11.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsDeportivo Pereira 7 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsDeportivo Pereira 3 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.48 xG1.12 xGDeportivo Pereira 0.48 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1.12 xG
  • Possession56%44%Deportivo Pereira 56%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 44%
  • Corners2 corners1 cornerDeportivo Pereira 2 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsDeportivo Pereira 11 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards1 cardDeportivo Pereira 2 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 card
  • Passes413 passes334 passesDeportivo Pereira 413 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 334 passes
  • Pass accuracy77%73%Deportivo Pereira 77%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 73%
  • Shots inside box3 shots9 shotsDeportivo Pereira 3 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 9 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block4 blocksDeportivo Pereira 1 block, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesDeportivo Pereira 1 save, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideDeportivo Pereira 4 offsides, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 10 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira10 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.1 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1 goal/match
0.65 xG/matchExpected goals7/50.65 xG/match
8.5 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 12 shots/match
3.3 shots/matchShots on target10/103.4 shots/match
41.8%Possession10/10● 46.4%
1.5 corners/matchCorners10/10● 4 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/32.33 cards/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Mar 2026, 00:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PereiraRionegro Águilas Doradas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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