Primera A · 2026Estadio Jaraguay

Jaguares de Córdoba 1–1 Rionegro Águilas Doradas · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jaguares de Córdoba and Rionegro Águilas Doradas drew 1–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.430.87
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jaguares and Águilas Doradas drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Jaguares – Águilas Doradas): shots 15–9, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.43–0.87, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Águilas Doradas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Águilas Doradas's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Águilas Doradas.

4.09 days ▲Rest daysJaguares · Águilas Doradas3.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJaguaresÁguilas DoradasBaseline
Rest days4.09 days3.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Águilas Doradas have a visible away split

moderate

Águilas Doradas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.17 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.17 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 15 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotJaguares de Córdoba 2 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.43 xG0.87 xGJaguares de Córdoba 1.43 xG, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 0.87 xG
  • Possession47%53%Jaguares de Córdoba 47%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 53%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 5 corners, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 17 fouls, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 17 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards2 cardsJaguares de Córdoba 2 cards, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 cards
  • Passes325 passes369 passesJaguares de Córdoba 325 passes, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 369 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%85%Jaguares de Córdoba 84%, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 85%
  • Shots inside box3 shots7 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 3 shots, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 7 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks4 blocksJaguares de Córdoba 7 blocks, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveJaguares de Córdoba 1 save, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 1 save
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesJaguares de Córdoba 2 offsides, Rionegro Águilas Doradas 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Rionegro Águilas Doradas in 11 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba13 matchesRionegro Águilas Doradas12 matches
0.85 goals/matchGoals scored13/12▲ 1 goal/match
1.77 goals/matchGoals allowed13/12▲ 1 goal/match
0.77 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/70.68 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots13/12▲ 11.8 shots/match
2.92 shots/matchShots on target13/12▲ 3.17 shots/match
46.2%Possession13/12● 48%
4.46 corners/match ●Corners13/124.17 corners/match
4.5 cards/matchCards4/52.6 cards/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples13 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 24 Mar 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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