Independiente Santa Fe
Primera A · 2026Independiente Santa Fe 2–1 Independiente Medellín · Primera A
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Independiente Santa Fe won 2–1.
- Shots
- 18–13
- Shots on target
- 7–3
- Expected goals
- 1.32–1.5
- Possession
- 59%–41%
Full time
What the match recorded
Santa Fe beat Independiente Medellin 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santa Fe – Independiente Medellin): shots 18–13, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.32–1.5, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente Medellin.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Santa Fe | Independiente Medellin | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 4.82 days | 3.82 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Independiente Medellin have a visible away split
moderateIndependiente Medellin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 11.1 shots/match | 15.1 shots/match | 12.4 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
Both teams have elevated corners records
moderateEach team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.
Window: season
| Metric | Santa Fe | Independiente Medellin | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Corners | 5.67 corners/match | 5.83 corners/match | 4.65 corners/match |
Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 6 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Independiente Santa Fe / Independiente Medellín
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
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