PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali 0–2 Once Caldas · Primera A

0–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Once Caldas won 0–2.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.281.4
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Once Caldas beat Deportivo Cali 2–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Cali – Once Caldas): shots 16–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.28–1.4, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Once Caldas's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Once Caldas's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Once Caldas have a visible away split

moderate

Once Caldas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.2 corners/matchCornersDeportivo Cali · Once Caldas● 6.3 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo CaliOnce CaldasBaseline
Corners5.2 corners/match6.3 corners/match4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsDeportivo Cali 16 shots, Once Caldas 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsDeportivo Cali 3 shots, Once Caldas 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG1.4 xGDeportivo Cali 1.28 xG, Once Caldas 1.4 xG
  • Possession59%41%Deportivo Cali 59%, Once Caldas 41%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersDeportivo Cali 12 corners, Once Caldas 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsDeportivo Cali 15 fouls, Once Caldas 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards6 cards5 cardsDeportivo Cali 6 cards, Once Caldas 5 cards
  • Passes431 passes316 passesDeportivo Cali 431 passes, Once Caldas 316 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%77%Deportivo Cali 84%, Once Caldas 77%
  • Shots inside box10 shots6 shotsDeportivo Cali 10 shots, Once Caldas 6 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocksDeportivo Cali 7 blocks, Once Caldas 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesDeportivo Cali 4 saves, Once Caldas 3 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides2 offsidesDeportivo Cali 3 offsides, Once Caldas 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 4 of 13 directional metrics · Once Caldas in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali10 matchesOnce Caldas10 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.8 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed10/101 goal/match
0.81 xG/matchExpected goals7/8▲ 1.09 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 6.2 shots/match
51.7%Possession10/10● 53%
5.2 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.3 corners/match
5.4 cards/matchCards5/43.75 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliOnce Caldas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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