Primera A · 2026Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior Barranquilla 1–1 Alianza Valledupar FC · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla and Alianza Valledupar FC drew 1–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.11.39
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior and Alianza Valledupar drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Junior – Alianza Valledupar): shots 18–11, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.1–1.39, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Alianza Valledupar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Alianza Valledupar's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.44 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Junior have a visible home split

weak

Junior's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match15.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Junior show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Junior's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsJunior · Alianza Valledupar11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuniorAlianza ValleduparBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsJunior Barranquilla 18 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsJunior Barranquilla 7 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.1 xG1.39 xGJunior Barranquilla 1.1 xG, Alianza Valledupar FC 1.39 xG
  • Possession66%34%Junior Barranquilla 66%, Alianza Valledupar FC 34%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersJunior Barranquilla 12 corners, Alianza Valledupar FC 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsJunior Barranquilla 10 fouls, Alianza Valledupar FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards5 cardsJunior Barranquilla 3 cards, Alianza Valledupar FC 5 cards
  • Passes429 passes219 passesJunior Barranquilla 429 passes, Alianza Valledupar FC 219 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%66%Junior Barranquilla 76%, Alianza Valledupar FC 66%
  • Shots inside box11 shots8 shotsJunior Barranquilla 11 shots, Alianza Valledupar FC 8 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksJunior Barranquilla 4 blocks, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves6 savesJunior Barranquilla 2 saves, Alianza Valledupar FC 6 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesJunior Barranquilla 0 offsides, Alianza Valledupar FC 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Junior Barranquilla favored in 10 of 13 directional metrics · Alianza Valledupar FC in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Junior Barranquilla9 matchesAlianza Valledupar FC9 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.44 goals/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92 goals/match
1.59 xG/match ▲Expected goals7/60.8 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots9/911.9 shots/match
5.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93 shots/match
56.7% ●Possession9/947.7%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners9/94.56 corners/match
2 cards/matchCards3/34.67 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls9/911.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 6 Mar 2026, 05:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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