PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali 1–1 Fortaleza CEIF · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Cali and Fortaleza CEIF drew 1–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.730.54
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Cali and Fortaleza FC drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Cali – Fortaleza FC): shots 13–13, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.73–0.54, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Cali's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Cali's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.22 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.22 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Deportivo Cali show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Deportivo Cali's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.6 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Cali · Fortaleza FC14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo CaliFortaleza FCBaseline
Shots11.6 shots/match14 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match9.44 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsDeportivo Cali 13 shots, Fortaleza CEIF 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsDeportivo Cali 2 shots, Fortaleza CEIF 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.54 xGDeportivo Cali 0.73 xG, Fortaleza CEIF 0.54 xG
  • Possession43%57%Deportivo Cali 43%, Fortaleza CEIF 57%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersDeportivo Cali 6 corners, Fortaleza CEIF 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls10 foulsDeportivo Cali 20 fouls, Fortaleza CEIF 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsDeportivo Cali 1 card, Fortaleza CEIF 4 cards
  • Passes308 passes413 passesDeportivo Cali 308 passes, Fortaleza CEIF 413 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%81%Deportivo Cali 73%, Fortaleza CEIF 81%
  • Shots inside box7 shots6 shotsDeportivo Cali 7 shots, Fortaleza CEIF 6 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks4 blocksDeportivo Cali 6 blocks, Fortaleza CEIF 4 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveDeportivo Cali 2 saves, Fortaleza CEIF 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesDeportivo Cali 1 offside, Fortaleza CEIF 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Cali favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Fortaleza CEIF in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Cali9 matchesFortaleza CEIF9 matches
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.44 goals/match
0.73 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.17 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14 shots/match
3.89 shots/matchShots on target9/9▲ 4.22 shots/match
50.9%Possession9/9● 56.9%
4.44 corners/match ●Corners9/94.33 corners/match
4.75 cards/matchCards4/43.5 cards/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls9/911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Mar 2026, 03:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo CaliFortaleza CEIF
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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