PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios 5–1 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

5–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios won 5–1.

Shots
235
Shots on target
123
Expected goals
2.020.98
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios beat Deportivo Pereira 5–1. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Deportivo Pereira): shots 23–5, shots on target 12–3, expected goals 2.02–0.98, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Millonarios's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Millonarios's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Millonarios show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Millonarios's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsMillonarios · Deportivo Pereira9.13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match9.13 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match15.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots5 shotsMillonarios 23 shots, Deportivo Pereira 5 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots3 shotsMillonarios 12 shots, Deportivo Pereira 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.02 xG0.98 xGMillonarios 2.02 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.98 xG
  • Possession55%45%Millonarios 55%, Deportivo Pereira 45%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerMillonarios 8 corners, Deportivo Pereira 1 corner
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsMillonarios 6 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardMillonarios 1 card, Deportivo Pereira 1 card
  • Passes390 passes328 passesMillonarios 390 passes, Deportivo Pereira 328 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%81%Millonarios 85%, Deportivo Pereira 81%
  • Shots inside box12 shots2 shotsMillonarios 12 shots, Deportivo Pereira 2 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks0 blocksMillonarios 2 blocks, Deportivo Pereira 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesMillonarios 2 saves, Deportivo Pereira 7 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides0 offsidesMillonarios 4 offsides, Deportivo Pereira 0 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 12 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios9 matchesDeportivo Pereira8 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/81 goal/match
1.22 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/82 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.8 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots9/89.13 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/83.63 shots/match
45% ●Possession9/840.5%
4.89 corners/match ●Corners9/81.5 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls9/811.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Feb 2026, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMillonariosDeportivo Pereira
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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