PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Centenario

Deportivo Pereira 2–2 Deportivo Pasto · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Pasto drew 2–2.

Shots
1122
Shots on target
67
Expected goals
0.722.33
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Pasto drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pereira – Deportivo Pasto): shots 11–22, shots on target 6–7, expected goals 0.72–2.33, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pereira's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Deportivo Pasto have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.9%PossessionDeportivo Pereira · Deportivo Pasto● 52.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoBaseline
Possession39.9%52.3%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots22 shotsDeportivo Pereira 11 shots, Deportivo Pasto 22 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsDeportivo Pereira 6 shots, Deportivo Pasto 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG2.33 xGDeportivo Pereira 0.72 xG, Deportivo Pasto 2.33 xG
  • Possession42%58%Deportivo Pereira 42%, Deportivo Pasto 58%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersDeportivo Pereira 1 corner, Deportivo Pasto 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsDeportivo Pereira 17 fouls, Deportivo Pasto 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsDeportivo Pereira 2 cards, Deportivo Pasto 3 cards
  • Passes315 passes424 passesDeportivo Pereira 315 passes, Deportivo Pasto 424 passes
  • Pass accuracy74%82%Deportivo Pereira 74%, Deportivo Pasto 82%
  • Shots inside box5 shots16 shotsDeportivo Pereira 5 shots, Deportivo Pasto 16 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks5 blocksDeportivo Pereira 0 blocks, Deportivo Pasto 5 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesDeportivo Pereira 5 saves, Deportivo Pasto 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideDeportivo Pereira 1 offside, Deportivo Pasto 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pasto in 9 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira7 matchesDeportivo Pasto8 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/8▲ 1 goal/match
0.75 xG/matchExpected goals4/3▲ 1.51 xG/match
9.71 shots/matchShots7/8▲ 11.3 shots/match
3.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/83.5 shots/match
39.9%Possession7/8● 52.3%
1.57 corners/matchCorners7/8● 3.38 corners/match
3.25 cards/matchCards4/44.25 cards/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls7/812.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PereiraDeportivo Pasto
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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