Primera A · 2026Estadio Bello Horizonte

Llaneros FC 2–2 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Llaneros FC and Independiente Medellín drew 2–2.

Shots
146
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.490.44
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Llaneros and Independiente Medellin drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Llaneros – Independiente Medellin): shots 14–6, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.49–0.44, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente Medellin have a visible away split

moderate

Independiente Medellin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Llaneros show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Llaneros's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.25 shots/match ▲ShotsLlaneros · Independiente Medellin15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLlanerosIndependiente MedellinBaseline
Shots9.25 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match8.88 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Llaneros, Independiente Medellin.

6.08 days ▲Rest daysLlaneros · Independiente Medellin5.99 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLlanerosIndependiente MedellinBaseline
Rest days6.08 days5.99 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsLlaneros FC 14 shots, Independiente Medellín 6 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotLlaneros FC 6 shots, Independiente Medellín 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.49 xG0.44 xGLlaneros FC 2.49 xG, Independiente Medellín 0.44 xG
  • Possession58%42%Llaneros FC 58%, Independiente Medellín 42%
  • Corners12 corners4 cornersLlaneros FC 12 corners, Independiente Medellín 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsLlaneros FC 10 fouls, Independiente Medellín 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards5 cardsLlaneros FC 2 cards, Independiente Medellín 5 cards
  • Passes339 passes250 passesLlaneros FC 339 passes, Independiente Medellín 250 passes
  • Pass accuracy76%70%Llaneros FC 76%, Independiente Medellín 70%
  • Shots inside box9 shots4 shotsLlaneros FC 9 shots, Independiente Medellín 4 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksLlaneros FC 3 blocks, Independiente Medellín 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves4 savesLlaneros FC 3 saves, Independiente Medellín 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideLlaneros FC 1 offside, Independiente Medellín 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Llaneros FC favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Llaneros FC8 matchesIndependiente Medellín8 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.25 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/81.5 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals3/41.03 xG/match
9.25 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.5 shots/match
49.5%Possession8/8● 54%
4.88 corners/match ●Corners8/84.75 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/53 cards/match
9.25 fouls/matchFouls8/812.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Feb 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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