PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Atanasio Girardot

Independiente Medellín 1–1 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Medellín and Deportivo Pereira drew 1–1.

Shots
239
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.840.35
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Medellin and Deportivo Pereira drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Independiente Medellin – Deportivo Pereira): shots 23–9, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.84–0.35, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente Medellin have a visible home split

weak

Independiente Medellin's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

22 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots22 shots/match16.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Deportivo Pereira show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Medellin · Deportivo Pereira9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match9.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against8.14 shots/match13.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente Medellin.

4.1 days ▲Rest daysIndependiente Medellin · Deportivo Pereira5.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIndependiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Rest days4.1 days5.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots9 shotsIndependiente Medellín 23 shots, Deportivo Pereira 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsIndependiente Medellín 5 shots, Deportivo Pereira 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.35 xGIndependiente Medellín 1.84 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.35 xG
  • Possession58%42%Independiente Medellín 58%, Deportivo Pereira 42%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersIndependiente Medellín 4 corners, Deportivo Pereira 0 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls9 foulsIndependiente Medellín 6 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardIndependiente Medellín 1 card, Deportivo Pereira 1 card
  • Passes486 passes367 passesIndependiente Medellín 486 passes, Deportivo Pereira 367 passes
  • Pass accuracy88%84%Independiente Medellín 88%, Deportivo Pereira 84%
  • Shots inside box12 shots2 shotsIndependiente Medellín 12 shots, Deportivo Pereira 2 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks1 blockIndependiente Medellín 7 blocks, Deportivo Pereira 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves4 savesIndependiente Medellín 4 saves, Deportivo Pereira 4 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides1 offsideIndependiente Medellín 0 offsides, Deportivo Pereira 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Medellín favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 1 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Medellín7 matchesDeportivo Pereira6 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/60.83 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed7/61.5 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.76 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots7/69.5 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target7/63.33 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession7/639.5%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/61.67 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards5/33.33 cards/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/610.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente MedellínDeportivo Pereira
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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