PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio General Santander

Cúcuta Deportivo 1–3 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Medellín won 1–3.

Shots
915
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
1.430.98
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Medellin beat Cucuta 3–1. Recorded in this match (Cucuta – Independiente Medellin): shots 9–15, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 1.43–0.98, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente Medellin show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Independiente Medellin's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

7.33 shots/match ▲ShotsCucuta · Independiente Medellin15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCucutaIndependiente MedellinBaseline
Shots7.33 shots/match15.3 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match8 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cucuta, Independiente Medellin.

3.08 days ▲Rest daysCucuta · Independiente Medellin3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCucutaIndependiente MedellinBaseline
Rest days3.08 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Independiente Medellin have a visible away split

weak

Independiente Medellin's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match15.3 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 9 shots, Independiente Medellín 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 3 shots, Independiente Medellín 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG0.98 xGCúcuta Deportivo 1.43 xG, Independiente Medellín 0.98 xG
  • Possession45%55%Cúcuta Deportivo 45%, Independiente Medellín 55%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersCúcuta Deportivo 4 corners, Independiente Medellín 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls18 foulsCúcuta Deportivo 8 fouls, Independiente Medellín 18 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsCúcuta Deportivo 1 card, Independiente Medellín 4 cards
  • Passes384 passes473 passesCúcuta Deportivo 384 passes, Independiente Medellín 473 passes
  • Pass accuracy84%86%Cúcuta Deportivo 84%, Independiente Medellín 86%
  • Shots inside box5 shots11 shotsCúcuta Deportivo 5 shots, Independiente Medellín 11 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksCúcuta Deportivo 2 blocks, Independiente Medellín 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves2 savesCúcuta Deportivo 6 saves, Independiente Medellín 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideCúcuta Deportivo 2 offsides, Independiente Medellín 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cúcuta Deportivo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cúcuta Deportivo6 matchesIndependiente Medellín6 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.17 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
7.33 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 15.3 shots/match
2.83 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 5 shots/match
45.3%Possession6/6● 55.3%
2.17 corners/matchCorners6/6● 5 corners/match
3.5 cards/matchCards4/43.25 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsCúcuta DeportivoIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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