Primera A · 2026Estadio Bello Horizonte

Llaneros FC 0–1 Deportivo Pasto · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Pasto won 0–1.

Shots
710
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.441.27
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Pasto beat Llaneros 1–0. Recorded in this match (Llaneros – Deportivo Pasto): shots 7–10, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.44–1.27, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Llaneros, Deportivo Pasto.

3.09 days ▲Rest daysLlaneros · Deportivo Pasto4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLlanerosDeportivo PastoBaseline
Rest days3.09 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Llaneros's recent record differs from the season

weak

Llaneros's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots10 shotsLlaneros FC 7 shots, Deportivo Pasto 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsLlaneros FC 2 shots, Deportivo Pasto 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG1.27 xGLlaneros FC 0.44 xG, Deportivo Pasto 1.27 xG
  • Possession66%34%Llaneros FC 66%, Deportivo Pasto 34%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersLlaneros FC 5 corners, Deportivo Pasto 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls23 foulsLlaneros FC 11 fouls, Deportivo Pasto 23 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards3 cardsLlaneros FC 2 cards, Deportivo Pasto 3 cards
  • Passes437 passes228 passesLlaneros FC 437 passes, Deportivo Pasto 228 passes
  • Pass accuracy82%65%Llaneros FC 82%, Deportivo Pasto 65%
  • Shots inside box2 shots6 shotsLlaneros FC 2 shots, Deportivo Pasto 6 shots
  • Blocked shots0 blocks1 blockLlaneros FC 0 blocks, Deportivo Pasto 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesLlaneros FC 3 saves, Deportivo Pasto 2 saves
  • Offsides0 offsides3 offsidesLlaneros FC 0 offsides, Deportivo Pasto 3 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Llaneros FC favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Pasto in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Llaneros FC6 matchesDeportivo Pasto6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/61 goal/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/60.83 goals/match
8.67 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 9.5 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target6/63 shots/match
45.8%Possession6/6● 49.8%
3.83 corners/match ●Corners6/62.33 corners/match
3 cards/matchCards4/34.67 cards/match
9 fouls/matchFouls6/614 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 11 Feb 2026, 03:20 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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