PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Jaraguay

Jaguares de Córdoba 1–0 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Jaguares de Córdoba won 1–0.

Shots
511
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.380.48
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Jaguares beat Deportivo Pereira 1–0. Recorded in this match (Jaguares – Deportivo Pereira): shots 5–11, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.38–0.48, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Jaguares show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Jaguares's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.25 shots/match ▲ShotsJaguares · Deportivo Pereira9.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJaguaresDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots7.25 shots/match9.6 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match11.6 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Jaguares have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.3% ●PossessionJaguares · Deportivo Pereira39%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricJaguaresDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Possession48.3%39%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots11 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 5 shots, Deportivo Pereira 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 3 shots, Deportivo Pereira 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.38 xG0.48 xGJaguares de Córdoba 0.38 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.48 xG
  • Possession49%51%Jaguares de Córdoba 49%, Deportivo Pereira 51%
  • Corners1 corner3 cornersJaguares de Córdoba 1 corner, Deportivo Pereira 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsJaguares de Córdoba 11 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsJaguares de Córdoba 3 cards, Deportivo Pereira 3 cards
  • Passes436 passes456 passesJaguares de Córdoba 436 passes, Deportivo Pereira 456 passes
  • Pass accuracy85%86%Jaguares de Córdoba 85%, Deportivo Pereira 86%
  • Shots inside box4 shots4 shotsJaguares de Córdoba 4 shots, Deportivo Pereira 4 shots
  • Blocked shots1 block3 blocksJaguares de Córdoba 1 block, Deportivo Pereira 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesJaguares de Córdoba 3 saves, Deportivo Pereira 2 saves
  • Offsides4 offsides1 offsideJaguares de Córdoba 4 offsides, Deportivo Pereira 1 offside

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Jaguares de Córdoba favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Jaguares de Córdoba4 matchesDeportivo Pereira5 matches
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/50.8 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/51.6 goals/match
7.25 shots/matchShots4/5▲ 9.6 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target4/53 shots/match
48.3% ●Possession4/539%
3.75 corners/match ●Corners4/52 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls4/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsJaguares de CórdobaDeportivo Pereira
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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