PitchMath
Primera A · 2026Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau

Alianza Valledupar FC 1–1 Once Caldas · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Alianza Valledupar FC and Once Caldas drew 1–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.480.5
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Alianza Valledupar and Once Caldas drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Alianza Valledupar – Once Caldas): shots 14–8, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.48–0.5, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Once Caldas have a visible away split

weak

Once Caldas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.67 shots/match14.2 shots/match11 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Once Caldas.

7.09 days ▲Rest daysAlianza Valledupar · Once Caldas6.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAlianza ValleduparOnce CaldasBaseline
Rest days7.09 days6.92 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 14 shots, Once Caldas 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 3 shots, Once Caldas 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.48 xG0.5 xGAlianza Valledupar FC 0.48 xG, Once Caldas 0.5 xG
  • Possession50%50%Alianza Valledupar FC 50%, Once Caldas 50%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersAlianza Valledupar FC 8 corners, Once Caldas 2 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 foulsAlianza Valledupar FC 13 fouls, Once Caldas 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardAlianza Valledupar FC 5 cards, Once Caldas 1 card
  • Passes357 passes384 passesAlianza Valledupar FC 357 passes, Once Caldas 384 passes
  • Pass accuracy81%81%Alianza Valledupar FC 81%, Once Caldas 81%
  • Shots inside box5 shots2 shotsAlianza Valledupar FC 5 shots, Once Caldas 2 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks0 blocksAlianza Valledupar FC 4 blocks, Once Caldas 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save2 savesAlianza Valledupar FC 1 save, Once Caldas 2 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides4 offsidesAlianza Valledupar FC 2 offsides, Once Caldas 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Alianza Valledupar FC favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Once Caldas in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Alianza Valledupar FC5 matchesOnce Caldas5 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1 goal/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 14.2 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 6 shots/match
49.6%Possession5/5● 56.6%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 8 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/510.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 Feb 2026, 01:10 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsAlianza Valledupar FCOnce Caldas
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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