Primera A · 2026Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin

Millonarios 2–1 Llaneros FC · Primera A

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Millonarios won 2–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.580.28
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Millonarios beat Llaneros 2–1. Recorded in this match (Millonarios – Llaneros): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.58–0.28, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Millonarios, Llaneros.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysMillonarios · Llaneros3.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMillonariosLlanerosBaseline
Rest days2.92 days3.92 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Llaneros's recent record differs from the season

weak

Llaneros's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Llaneros show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Llaneros's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsMillonarios · Llaneros8.57 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMillonariosLlanerosBaseline
Shots12 shots/match8.57 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against12.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match11.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsMillonarios 16 shots, Llaneros FC 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsMillonarios 6 shots, Llaneros FC 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.28 xGMillonarios 1.58 xG, Llaneros FC 0.28 xG
  • Possession37%63%Millonarios 37%, Llaneros FC 63%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersMillonarios 7 corners, Llaneros FC 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsMillonarios 17 fouls, Llaneros FC 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards5 cardsMillonarios 4 cards, Llaneros FC 5 cards
  • Passes241 passes426 passesMillonarios 241 passes, Llaneros FC 426 passes
  • Pass accuracy73%86%Millonarios 73%, Llaneros FC 86%
  • Shots inside box9 shots2 shotsMillonarios 9 shots, Llaneros FC 2 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksMillonarios 3 blocks, Llaneros FC 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves3 savesMillonarios 3 saves, Llaneros FC 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides2 offsidesMillonarios 2 offsides, Llaneros FC 2 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Millonarios favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Llaneros FC in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Millonarios7 matchesLlaneros FC7 matches
0.86 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1 goal/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots7/78.57 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target7/73.14 shots/match
43%Possession7/7● 48.3%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners7/73.86 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls7/79.14 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Feb 2026, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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